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Prediction

XO Market bets on user-generated prediction markets to rival Polymarket and Kalshi

XO Market bets on user-generated prediction markets to rival Polymarket and Kalshi

6 months ago by Crypto InsightsCrypto

*** NOT FOR PUBLICATION – EMBARGOED TILL 5AM ET APRIL 30 **** XO Market is betting that the future of prediction markets won’t be dictated by centralized teams deciding what people can trade on, but by users themselves. The startup, which just closed a $6… Read More

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback

6 months ago by Crypto InsightsCrypto

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued New York on Friday in its latest action to shield what the agency has argued is its unassailable nationwide regulatory authority over prediction market firms. Earlier this week, New York sued Coinbase and Gemini, arguing that their prediction… Read More

CFTC Chair Mike Selig argues for agency’s ‘exclusive regulatory authority’ in prediction markets fight: State of Crypto

CFTC Chair Mike Selig argues for agency’s ‘exclusive regulatory authority’ in prediction markets fight: State of Crypto

6 months ago by Crypto InsightsCrypto

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig told CoinDesk that the agency will continue to defend its “exclusive regulatory authority” to oversee prediction markets in court. “It doesn’t matter if it’s on sports, politics or anything else, if it’s a validly offered product within a… Read More

Washington sues Kalshi as states ramp up legal pressure against prediction markets

Washington sues Kalshi as states ramp up legal pressure against prediction markets

7 months ago by Crypto InsightsCrypto

The state of Washington has become the latest to sue a prediction markets provider, after alleging Friday that Kalshi had violated state gambling laws through its products. According to the complaint, Washington has a tightly-regulated gambling market, including a ban on online gambling, but Kalshi’s… Read More

If one trader can force the outcome of a prediction market, it shouldn’t be tradable

If one trader can force the outcome of a prediction market, it shouldn’t be tradable

7 months ago by Crypto InsightsCrypto

As platforms such as Polymarket gain mainstream visibility during U.S. election cycles and major geopolitical events, their prices are increasingly cited as real-time signals of truth. The pitch is seductive: let people put money behind beliefs, and the market will converge on reality faster than… Read More

AI agents are quietly rewriting prediction market trading

AI agents are quietly rewriting prediction market trading

7 months ago by Crypto InsightsCrypto

Prediction markets have long promised to aggregate insights about future events. Increasingly, those signals are coming not just from people, but from machines. According to David Minarsch, CEO and co-founder of Valory AG, the team behind the crypto-AI protocol Olas, autonomous AI agents are emerging… Read More

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